Finally! 90 Degrees

Snapshot A very interesting picture was sent to us this evening from Becky Collins in Gresham.  She says some ash was falling out of the sky there, as well as where her husband works a few miles away.  Did any of you see it at your homes?  The windflow from the south-southeast is bringing smoke from several fires up into the metro area this evening.  I happened to see the setting sun…very cool!

We finally hit 90 degrees today after two days at 89.  There is a very shallow push of marine air in progress this evening, but it's barely made it into the metro area.  So 10 degrees of cooling tomorrow looks good.  In the latter half of September it shouldn't be too hard to cool our high temperature to five degrees ABOVE normal.  Then more marine air Thursday and Friday means it's back to the morning clouds, afternoon sun routine.

Quite a change in the 7 Day forecast is due to the GFS coming around to the ECMWF point of view.  850mb temps with a cold trough Monday-Tuesday are forecast by both models around 0 to +1.  Seems a bit extreme, but not unheard of the 2nd half of September.  According to my 850mb temp chart, the coldest 00z temp over SLE in the 6 Septembers 1997-2003 was +2.  That means this upcoming chilly spell is at the bottom of the chart, just 5 days after the "top of the chart" weather yesterday and today (see previous post).  So it's going to be quite a change…get the woodstove ready!  Mark Nelsen

114 Responses to Finally! 90 Degrees

  1. HIO Phil (Punxsutawney) says:

    Low of 50.6 and a high of 61.6 today. Only a swing of 11 degrees. No sun – Yeah!

  2. HIO Phil (Punxsutawney) says:

    Low of 50.6 and a high of 61.6 today. Only a swing of 11 degrees. No sun – Yeah!

  3. Salemphil says:

    LMAO!!! No doubt about it!!!!! Bring on the fall and winter weather.

  4. TriforceofInvisibility says:

    54F right now and cloudy.

  5. TriforceofInvisibility says:

    54F right now and cloudy.

  6. TriforceofInvisibility says:

    Why doesn’t anyone know about September of 1934? I mean no one even cares?

  7. Boring Larry in Cherryville el.918 says:

    … i don’t know Jacob, i don’t think there’s many normal humans here…

  8. As a note to a previous comment; Mark’s 7 day looks about right. Models show a little bit warmer than a day or so ago and have been doing so for the last 24hrs, so mid 70’s looks roughly right.

  9. jacob BPA says:

    2008-2009 Winter Forecast is Done and will be put into Normal human terms as I Digest it For BPA and will post in the Coming Days

  10. jacob BPA says:

    2008-2009 Winter Forecast is Done and will be put into Normal human terms as I Digest it For BPA and will post in the Coming Days

  11. Accuweather, along with Weather.com rely on an averages of raw model data, and often times in the winter that means if you took the models at face value it would snow x days out. But as most of us who have had our hearts broken by the models over and over again (18z GFS) know that model interpretation is key in forecasting in the winter.

  12. Accuweather, along with Weather.com rely on an averages of raw model data, and often times in the winter that means if you took the models at face value it would snow x days out. But as most of us who have had our hearts broken by the models over and over again (18z GFS) know that model interpretation is key in forecasting in the winter.

  13. gloriousnumber1 says:

    About accuweather, we all know any forecast more than a week ahead is a joke at best and highly innacurate. I know what you mean about the snow too.
    Different subject… I kind of hope we get a good soaker from this next storm so we can abruptly end our fire season. A good inch at the coast, a half inch here, and a quarter of an inch central/eastern oregon would be good along with calmer winds, high humidity, and cool cloudy weather.
    Summer has been great for me, I’ve enjoyed it and been very busy. Today was the first day in weeks I drove home from work without wearing my sunglasses, fall is at the door.

  14. TV Weather Producer says:

    Live blogging from the Oregon AMS and Oregon AIH meeting this evening. Everyone is invited to Ringler’s pub just off of Burnside in Portland. Social Hour(s) is from 5 to 7pm. The meeting gets underway at 7pm. People are already here and its going to be a good time. Steve is going to be sharing his snow data and the analog years that match this years stats. Hope you can make it.
    TWP

  15. TV Weather Producer says:

    Live blogging from the Oregon AMS and Oregon AIH meeting this evening. Everyone is invited to Ringler’s pub just off of Burnside in Portland. Social Hour(s) is from 5 to 7pm. The meeting gets underway at 7pm. People are already here and its going to be a good time. Steve is going to be sharing his snow data and the analog years that match this years stats. Hope you can make it.
    TWP

  16. TV Weather Producer says:

    Live blogging from the Oregon AMS and Oregon AIH meeting this evening. Everyone is invited to Ringler’s pub just off of Burnside in Portland. Social Hour(s) is from 5 to 7pm. The meeting gets underway at 7pm. People are already here and its going to be a good time. Steve is going to be sharing his snow data and the analog years that match this years stats. Hope you can make it.
    TWP

  17. Jesse-Orchards says:

    By the way, today was awesome. Probably my favorite day in the last two weeks or so.

  18. TriforceofInvisibility says:

    Sept of 1934 I mean.

  19. TriforceofInvisibility says:

    Sept of 1934 I mean.

  20. TriforceofInvisibility says:

    Ryan that sounds COLD! and it’s not even offically fall yet. 🙂 I wonder if that means record territory? Wait… sometime in 1934 we were in the deep 20s for several nights.

  21. dan zeit says:

    since our state climatoligist george taylor retired this year he is not putting out his annual winter forecast. anybody out there care to post yours. my forecast is warmer and drier than average. any comments

  22. HIO Phil (Punxsutawney) says:

    *Err “First time in a couple of months”

  23. Ryan (Walnut Grove) says:

    @Triforce
    I think that is just a long weather-geek way of saying it is going to be unseasonably cool for the PacNW this next week.
    Especially if PDX gets into the low 40’s which typically means 38-40 for outlying burbs. Chilly nights ahead!
    Has the big Eightsky not updated their 7 day forecast on the web? Those temps are a good +10 degrees vs. everyone else.

  24. HIO Phil (Punxsutawney) says:

    First time I’ve gotton in my car during daylight hours without it being hotter than heck. I’ll take this weather. Today will be the first non-80 degree day for Hillsboro since the 5th.

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