A Wet August?

Snapshot I just noticed this evening that we're within .09" of our average August rainfall.  That shouldn't be too hard to get Sunday evening or early Monday morning.  The approaching cold front sure won't be a soaker, especially compared to the last one earlier this week.  But maybe .20" is a likely number for PDX.  Otherwise nice sunshine again for tomorrow and briefly again Sunday morning.  A bit more easterly flow than expected this morning.  I see Corbett gusted over 30 mph.  I stopped by and fixed the minor networking issue out there yesterday.  Got to have that thing working for the approaching east wind season!  I see the easterly gradient has not returned this evening, so we'll only have a light easterly drift early tomorrow before onshore flow returns late in the day.  But with a warmer airmass, I still expect 5-7 degrees warming.  We hit 81 today, so that should get us in the 86-89 degree range tomorrow.

Not a whole lot to talk about this evening otherwise…I'll be working all next week, so more blogging then.  Enjoy the warm weekend!  Mark Nelsen

124 Responses to A Wet August?

  1. boydo3 says:

    does anybody else feel like this weather is more like late Sept early Oct? I’m not really ready for fall.

  2. boydo3 says:

    does anybody else feel like this weather is more like late Sept early Oct? I’m not really ready for fall.

  3. jacob BPA says:

    Yes TV and Fab 5 will be testing out its new Equipment
    and nightly posts ahh and I can Get away from wind Energy
    Our Winter Forecast Comes out in 24 Days

  4. wendy-silverlake,wa says:

    My not so smart parents are heading to the Carribean for a cruise next week. Guess when you get a really good deal on cruise tickets, you should find out why. Well maybe they will be able to give us some good pics at least of what a hurricane looks like aboard a ship. When is the current hurricane suppose to come ashore?

  5. wendy-silverlake,wa says:

    My not so smart parents are heading to the Carribean for a cruise next week. Guess when you get a really good deal on cruise tickets, you should find out why. Well maybe they will be able to give us some good pics at least of what a hurricane looks like aboard a ship. When is the current hurricane suppose to come ashore?

  6. TV Weather Producer says:

    Wow the coffee house crowd that is the blog today is no where to be found.
    Its like walking into an empty Autzen Stadium at 8am and seeing the sun rise over the mountains and knowing that in a few short hours, this place will be the 9th largest city in the state ! Its a very fun feeling knowing that in a few short months, we won’t be able to keep up with all the posts.
    TWP.

  7. TV Weather Producer says:

    Gustav.
    Could it be.
    Making people nervous on the gulf.
    Oil, it might go higher.
    Hurricane Hunters flying now.

  8. Boring Larry in Cherryville el.918 says:

    Mister Duckworth gone
    fishing in the eternal
    Pearly Gate duck hoop

  9. Boring Larry in Cherryville el.918 says:

    Mister Duckworth gone
    fishing in the eternal
    Pearly Gate duck hoop

  10. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    Tri…only time will tell πŸ™‚

  11. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    Tri…only time will tell πŸ™‚

  12. TriforceofInvisiblitu says:

    The Triforce says it’s 68F with a 43% humidity and mostly sunny with a few puffy clouds. Not bad and a low of 52F.
    The Triforce wonders if we will have an early spell of 40F nights and he wonders if this means Juneau will have an unusally stormy fall since he looks at Juneau’s weather quite frequently?

  13. TriforceofInvisiblity says:

    Yay! Atmosheric Wrath with his crystal ball to watch the weather patterns! I will use my Triforce to send the jet screaming down to us….I wish. I like the signs of a early fall. Maybe we will have a south wind event in Sep LOL. Just teasing. Weather report part 2.

  14. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    Yup Rob, the polar sea ice up North will begin rebuilding very soon if it hasn’t already.

  15. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    Yup Rob, the polar sea ice up North will begin rebuilding very soon if it hasn’t already.

  16. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    Yup Rob, the polar sea ice up North will begin rebuilding very soon if it hasn’t already.

  17. Atmospheric Wrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    Getting towards the time of year where I like to frequently use the Unisys 850mb temp model to watch the cold air build up north.
    http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/loop/gfsx_850_loop.html
    I notice some 850mb -10c to -14c up there now.

  18. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    As for the 12z:
    http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KPDX
    Looks to keep us in a continued cool pattern for late august/early september, no 850 temps over 15…and that is only this week, after friday, temps look to stay in the single digits at 850 per the GFS for an extended time.
    Steve, looks like that cool september after a record warm spell august could hold true πŸ™‚ Good news.

  19. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    As for the 12z:
    http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KPDX
    Looks to keep us in a continued cool pattern for late august/early september, no 850 temps over 15…and that is only this week, after friday, temps look to stay in the single digits at 850 per the GFS for an extended time.
    Steve, looks like that cool september after a record warm spell august could hold true πŸ™‚ Good news.

  20. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    As for the 12z:
    http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KPDX
    Looks to keep us in a continued cool pattern for late august/early september, no 850 temps over 15…and that is only this week, after friday, temps look to stay in the single digits at 850 per the GFS for an extended time.
    Steve, looks like that cool september after a record warm spell august could hold true πŸ™‚ Good news.

  21. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    Ouch Sean, not to mention a spike in the Oil prices by a few dollars…at least πŸ™‚

  22. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    Rob, yes, that’s such a sad story. My sis messaged me this early morning about it.
    I will forever remember the assists from TP to Duckworth for his patented hook in the lane.
    RIP Duck, you will be forever remembered in blazer fans memory for some wonderful years.

  23. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    Rob, yes, that’s such a sad story. My sis messaged me this early morning about it.
    I will forever remember the assists from TP to Duckworth for his patented hook in the lane.
    RIP Duck, you will be forever remembered in blazer fans memory for some wonderful years.

  24. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    Rob, yes, that’s such a sad story. My sis messaged me this early morning about it.
    I will forever remember the assists from TP to Duckworth for his patented hook in the lane.
    RIP Duck, you will be forever remembered in blazer fans memory for some wonderful years.

  25. Sean (Lebanon, Indiana) says:

    I really do hope that Gustav doesn’t become anything major, even though I won’t be directly affected by the system. We have several terminals down along the gulf coast region. Which would mean a major interruption to my vacation next week..

  26. Atmospheric Wrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    Gustav has all the potential in the world given the projected track. Assuming the high pressure does build in it will steer it more westerly. Hopefully it doesn’t do so taking it over more land area and some mountainous also which could weaken/tear it apart.
    Worst case scenario is the projected path. Could be looking at a Cat3 to Cat5 as it nears the western tip of Cuba if that pans out.
    In other news….
    Rest in Peace Kevin Duckworth.
    “Today is an extremely sad day for the Trail Blazers family,” Trail Blazers President Larry Miller said. “Kevin will be remembered by fans as one of the most popular and recognizable players to ever wear the Blazers uniform, but to people who knew him, he’ll be remembered as one of the warmest and biggest-hearted.”
    Duckworth died while on the Oregon Coast representing the Trail Blazers as a Heritage Ambassador on the team’s 19-city Statewide Summer Tour. The cause of his death is unknown, and will be determined by a Lincoln County, Oregon Medical Examiner.

  27. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    GUSTAV!!!
    This Storm is now a hurricane. Yesterday it was projected to move over Cuba which would have hindered it’s ability to strengthen much, today’s projection takes it south of Cuba, good for them, potentially horrible for the US. This storm is going to be out over open water and if it follows the track projected in this link, could potentially be a devestating hurricane for the US. This definetely bears watching as the 5 day cone wants to head it in the general direction of….NOLA! Let’s cross our fingers this hurricane stays south of the US and does not make that turn into the Gulf.
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/144112.shtml?5day#contents

  28. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    GUSTAV!!!
    This Storm is now a hurricane. Yesterday it was projected to move over Cuba which would have hindered it’s ability to strengthen much, today’s projection takes it south of Cuba, good for them, potentially horrible for the US. This storm is going to be out over open water and if it follows the track projected in this link, could potentially be a devestating hurricane for the US. This definetely bears watching as the 5 day cone wants to head it in the general direction of….NOLA! Let’s cross our fingers this hurricane stays south of the US and does not make that turn into the Gulf.
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/144112.shtml?5day#contents

  29. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    Yes Rob, very nice Jet for this time of year…Fall could be very active.
    Thing I worry about for this winter…we could get the perfect setup…-PDO, solar inactivity, etc etc…but a raging pacific Jet could stop the EPAC high from setting up often. Hopefully that won’t be the case πŸ™‚

  30. Luvry (Tanasbourne) says:

    Yes Rob, very nice Jet for this time of year…Fall could be very active.
    Thing I worry about for this winter…we could get the perfect setup…-PDO, solar inactivity, etc etc…but a raging pacific Jet could stop the EPAC high from setting up often. Hopefully that won’t be the case πŸ™‚

  31. Atmospheric Wrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    Good early morning everyone.
    Isn’t a whole lot going on.
    The only thing that really stands out to me is yet another impressive low pressure area out over the Gulf of Alaska. This month have been a succession of storms with barometric pressure readings below 985mb. For August that’s pretty good.
    [NCEP/NOAA 06z Forecast Map/Analysis]

    Currently they have the low around 983mb or 29.03 in.
    It may not have bottomed out just yet. It is protected to slowly weaker later today as it head towards the Northern Queen Charlotte Islands/S.E. Alaskan Coast.
    [WV Loop]
    http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_enhanced+12
    Can clearly see this impressive system out near 149.8 W, 52 N. It is packed fairly tight and has a good healthy circulation. I’d say it is near peak intensity now, but it may drop another millibar.
    Another thing that stands out to me per viewing this is the jet moving quickly across the North Pacific/Gulf of Alaska. It is also sagging a good distance south out near 170 W. If this is any indication for our Fall/Winter season look for an active jet with storms progressively getting stronger and stronger. We might get creamed this year.
    – Rob

  32. Atmospheric Wrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    Good early morning everyone.
    Isn’t a whole lot going on.
    The only thing that really stands out to me is yet another impressive low pressure area out over the Gulf of Alaska. This month have been a succession of storms with barometric pressure readings below 985mb. For August that’s pretty good.
    [NCEP/NOAA 06z Forecast Map/Analysis]

    Currently they have the low around 983mb or 29.03 in.
    It may not have bottomed out just yet. It is protected to slowly weaker later today as it head towards the Northern Queen Charlotte Islands/S.E. Alaskan Coast.
    [WV Loop]
    http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_enhanced+12
    Can clearly see this impressive system out near 149.8 W, 52 N. It is packed fairly tight and has a good healthy circulation. I’d say it is near peak intensity now, but it may drop another millibar.
    Another thing that stands out to me per viewing this is the jet moving quickly across the North Pacific/Gulf of Alaska. It is also sagging a good distance south out near 170 W. If this is any indication for our Fall/Winter season look for an active jet with storms progressively getting stronger and stronger. We might get creamed this year.
    – Rob

  33. Atmospheric Wrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    Good early morning everyone.
    Isn’t a whole lot going on.
    The only thing that really stands out to me is yet another impressive low pressure area out over the Gulf of Alaska. This month have been a succession of storms with barometric pressure readings below 985mb. For August that’s pretty good.
    [NCEP/NOAA 06z Forecast Map/Analysis]

    Currently they have the low around 983mb or 29.03 in.
    It may not have bottomed out just yet. It is protected to slowly weaker later today as it head towards the Northern Queen Charlotte Islands/S.E. Alaskan Coast.
    [WV Loop]
    http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_enhanced+12
    Can clearly see this impressive system out near 149.8 W, 52 N. It is packed fairly tight and has a good healthy circulation. I’d say it is near peak intensity now, but it may drop another millibar.
    Another thing that stands out to me per viewing this is the jet moving quickly across the North Pacific/Gulf of Alaska. It is also sagging a good distance south out near 170 W. If this is any indication for our Fall/Winter season look for an active jet with storms progressively getting stronger and stronger. We might get creamed this year.
    – Rob

  34. Atmospheric Wrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    Good early morning everyone.
    Isn’t a whole lot going on.
    The only thing that really stands out to me is yet another impressive low pressure area out over the Gulf of Alaska. This month have been a succession of storms with barometric pressure readings below 985mb. For August that’s pretty good.
    [NCEP/NOAA 06z Forecast Map/Analysis]

    Currently they have the low around 983mb or 29.03 in.
    It may not have bottomed out just yet. It is protected to slowly weaker later today as it head towards the Northern Queen Charlotte Islands/S.E. Alaskan Coast.
    [WV Loop]
    http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_enhanced+12
    Can clearly see this impressive system out near 149.8 W, 52 N. It is packed fairly tight and has a good healthy circulation. I’d say it is near peak intensity now, but it may drop another millibar.
    Another thing that stands out to me per viewing this is the jet moving quickly across the North Pacific/Gulf of Alaska. It is also sagging a good distance south out near 170 W. If this is any indication for our Fall/Winter season look for an active jet with storms progressively getting stronger and stronger. We might get creamed this year.
    – Rob

A Wet August?

Snapshot I just noticed this evening that we're within .09" of our average August rainfall.  That shouldn't be too hard to get Sunday evening or early Monday morning.  The approaching cold front sure won't be a soaker, especially compared to the last one earlier this week.  But maybe .20" is a likely number for PDX.  Otherwise nice sunshine again for tomorrow and briefly again Sunday morning.  A bit more easterly flow than expected this morning.  I see Corbett gusted over 30 mph.  I stopped by and fixed the minor networking issue out there yesterday.  Got to have that thing working for the approaching east wind season!  I see the easterly gradient has not returned this evening, so we'll only have a light easterly drift early tomorrow before onshore flow returns late in the day.  But with a warmer airmass, I still expect 5-7 degrees warming.  We hit 81 today, so that should get us in the 86-89 degree range tomorrow.

Not a whole lot to talk about this evening otherwise…I'll be working all next week, so more blogging then.  Enjoy the warm weekend!  Mark Nelsen

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