Warmer Weather Ahead

August 21, 2008

Snapshot Apparently I chose the wettest, coolest, most useless days to take off in the month of August.  I was off Monday-Wednesday, although Saturday and Sunday were neat with the thunderstorms and nice warm nights (Luckily, I have a heat pump that keeps the house cool during the day).

I took my usual between-show ride this evening.  It's obvious that I can only do that for a few more weeks…that sun angle is getting pretty low by 7:30 pm.  And in two weeks I'll won't be able to even start until 6:30pm.  Well, I'll be back at it in March.

As for weather?  It's a bit slow this evening.  Clouds gradually clearing out behind all the muck of the last few days.  Plenty of clearing and wet ground should lead to some fog or low clouds later tonight.  Weak or slightly offshore flow tomorrow and Saturday plus 850mb temps peaking out around +16 should give us highs in the mid-80s Saturday.  Earlier I had a 90, but that was based on the "east wind" part of my chart.  As I mentioned, 00z models have very weak or light east flow on Saturday, so I dumped that 90 degree idea as fast as Northwest weather geeks run from high pressure and inversions in the winter.

Models seem to be slightly faster with the next trough/cold front for late Sunday.  Looks like the Coast may be wet the 2nd half of the day, with rain into the interior by sunset.

Some sort of ridging and warmer temps comes back in the middle of the week.  Mark Nelsen


Warmer Weather Ahead

August 21, 2008

Snapshot Apparently I chose the wettest, coolest, most useless days to take off in the month of August.  I was off Monday-Wednesday, although Saturday and Sunday were neat with the thunderstorms and nice warm nights (Luckily, I have a heat pump that keeps the house cool during the day).

I took my usual between-show ride this evening.  It's obvious that I can only do that for a few more weeks…that sun angle is getting pretty low by 7:30 pm.  And in two weeks I'll won't be able to even start until 6:30pm.  Well, I'll be back at it in March.

As for weather?  It's a bit slow this evening.  Clouds gradually clearing out behind all the muck of the last few days.  Plenty of clearing and wet ground should lead to some fog or low clouds later tonight.  Weak or slightly offshore flow tomorrow and Saturday plus 850mb temps peaking out around +16 should give us highs in the mid-80s Saturday.  Earlier I had a 90, but that was based on the "east wind" part of my chart.  As I mentioned, 00z models have very weak or light east flow on Saturday, so I dumped that 90 degree idea as fast as Northwest weather geeks run from high pressure and inversions in the winter.

Models seem to be slightly faster with the next trough/cold front for late Sunday.  Looks like the Coast may be wet the 2nd half of the day, with rain into the interior by sunset.

Some sort of ridging and warmer temps comes back in the middle of the week.  Mark Nelsen