Vacation Time Again

Snapshot[2] The forecast worked out perfectly again today.  Morning clouds to afternoon sunshine.  You know it’s a chilly airmass when a sunny afternoon only produces a high of 72 at PDX on July 30th!

A nice plume of moisture is getting organized to our west this evening.  It’s a combination of subtropical moisture streaming across the Pacific and a system dropping south out of Alaska that gives us a rain threat late tomorrow night and Friday morning.  Once again, it won’t give us much rain inland…just like Tuesday.

The trough swinging inland over the Northwest Friday-Saturday is showing signs of lingering through the rest of the weekend as well.  The always-pessimistic NAM has 500mb heights down around 567 dm.  That’s similar to a cold June upper-level low.  I’ve discounted that since the ECMWF and GFS are not as deep.  And speaking of ignoring some models…you may notice the 7 day forecast doesn’t match the big warm up forecast on the ECMWF and GFS models.  They both say we’ll be 90-96 Tuesday and Wednesday.  Maybe as warm as 85-90 on Monday as well.  When I saw that today, I immediately assumed that the familiar pattern of models backing off on warm spells would continue.  Sure enough, I see the 00z is already cooler for Monday.  But Tuesday and Wednesday are still forecast to be scorchers.  I am breathlessly awaiting the 00z ECMWF.  Well, actually I’m still breathing, but you know what I mean.

On the home front, I had a face to face encounter with Bambi in my garden last night around 12:45am.  He/she was munching on the carrots looking very contented.  My kids accidentally left the gate open.  Hmmm, 2 apple trees appear a little stripped…the battle continues…

I’ll be off the next two days in exchange for working an 8 day stretch when I return from vacation late next week.  So no new posts until at least next Friday, the 8th.  Mark Nelsen

367 Responses to Vacation Time Again

  1. Atmospheric Wrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    Cap, better watch out Bobby (TV) will call the NWS to verify if you are lying or accurate or whatever.

  2. Mike (Sweet Home) says:

    Lisa: Mt Hood storm is moving north northeast toward Hood River and points north.

  3. cap says:

    This storm coming right at Hood River is the biggest I’ve ever seen in this area. Strike every 2 to 3 seconds.. and huge!!!

  4. Lisa says:

    Luvry, will those cells from Mt Hood slide to Eagle Creek/Sandy or is that possible the way the winds are?

  5. Luvry says:

    Back to business. Wow, I leave for 2 hours and we get an outbreak of the wrong kind.
    There are MANY personalities on here, all I ask is that we respect eachother.
    Rob, have you heard any strikes on AM from those cells over Mt. Hood?
    Also, another round of storms is about to slide just west of Bend, AGAIN…what a day for deschutes county, Bend has been very close to seeing storms from 6AM to 11PM…AMAZING day over there!

  6. Paul(orPbo9) says:

    wow 59º to 73ºF.

  7. Lisa says:

    Yay, I’ve got a teething 9 month old, I would LOVE a quiet night. Any bit of sleep is a wonderful thing. In July with the storms we were up all night, then all day.

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