At least it was a rainy day by late July standards. I mentioned during the 10pm broadcast that only 4 times in the last 20 years have we had more than .10″ during the last 7 days of the month. We didn’t do that today, and I don’t think we will Friday. However, we seem to be stuck in a troughy pattern through the extended period.
I notice the 00z GFS has no temps above +12 at 850mb through the next two weeks. It is the coldest of the ECMWF, GEM and GFS models (the main long range models I look at), so it may be forecasting a bit cool.
Not much else to talk about, so I’ll leave it at that for tonight…we’re just about to the dog days of summer. Mark Nelsen
This entry was posted on Tuesday, July 29th, 2008 at 10:52 pm and is filed under Weather. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.
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Well, looks like GFS and Euro are trending on a ridge for the tuesdayish timeframe. It’s a little closer in timeframe than last time they forecast it. Kind of have a better feeling about the ridge this time around. In addition, Euro has a low off our coast tuesday, could cause some convection, GFS showed the same thing. GFS has maintained this ridge for 3 runs now, more consistent than recent ridges progged. I’ll wait another 4 model runs before I jump on board for 90+ weather. I don’t think Mark took this into account for his 10er. Doesn’t look like a major heatwave or long lasting ridge but 90 degree weather nonetheless, we’ll see 🙂
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Well, looks like GFS and Euro are trending on a ridge for the tuesdayish timeframe. It’s a little closer in timeframe than last time they forecast it. Kind of have a better feeling about the ridge this time around. In addition, Euro has a low off our coast tuesday, could cause some convection, GFS showed the same thing. GFS has maintained this ridge for 3 runs now, more consistent than recent ridges progged. I’ll wait another 4 model runs before I jump on board for 90+ weather. I don’t think Mark took this into account for his 10er. Doesn’t look like a major heatwave or long lasting ridge but 90 degree weather nonetheless, we’ll see 🙂
OH, thanks for keeping me first Mark…that is BOMB!!!!!
Thanks Mark. New post coming tonigh?
Thanks Mark!!!!
How about a fresh clean start for this evening eh?
first!