A Big Rain Day

Snapshot At least it was a rainy day by late July standards.  I mentioned during the 10pm broadcast that only 4 times in the last 20 years have we had more than .10″ during the last 7 days of the month.  We didn’t do that today, and I don’t think we will Friday.  However, we seem to be stuck in a troughy pattern through the extended period.


I notice the 00z GFS has no temps above +12 at 850mb through the next two weeks.  It is the coldest of the ECMWF, GEM and GFS models (the main long range models I look at), so it may be forecasting a bit cool.


Not much else to talk about, so I’ll leave it at that for tonight…we’re just about to the dog days of summer.  Mark Nelsen

6 Responses to A Big Rain Day

  1. Luvry says:

    Well, looks like GFS and Euro are trending on a ridge for the tuesdayish timeframe. It’s a little closer in timeframe than last time they forecast it. Kind of have a better feeling about the ridge this time around. In addition, Euro has a low off our coast tuesday, could cause some convection, GFS showed the same thing. GFS has maintained this ridge for 3 runs now, more consistent than recent ridges progged. I’ll wait another 4 model runs before I jump on board for 90+ weather. I don’t think Mark took this into account for his 10er. Doesn’t look like a major heatwave or long lasting ridge but 90 degree weather nonetheless, we’ll see 🙂

  2. Luvry says:

    OH, thanks for keeping me first Mark…that is BOMB!!!!!

  3. Luvry says:

    Thanks Mark. New post coming tonigh?

  4. Gregg-Troutdale says:

    Thanks Mark!!!!

  5. Mark Nelsen says:

    How about a fresh clean start for this evening eh?

  6. Luvry says:

    first!

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