Nice Spring Weather

SnapshotThe last two days were perfect early April days with high temps in the 60-65 degree range across the metro area.  It’s only the latter half of February, so you know it can’t stay this warm for too long.  Of course I think it was 3 years ago when we had almost a 3 week long stretch like this from late February through early March.  So maybe the warm weather will return in a week or so.  I had a great time this weekend ignoring the T.V. and actually most internet and weather maps.  Got my property all ready and de-blackberried to plant more trees (douglas firs), threw the dead grouse over the hill, planted some bulbs, and did some bush-wacking down to a waterfall with the kids.  Basically I tried to be outside as much as possible knowing that cool and rainy weather would return.  I hope many of you got the chance to do the same.

But now it’s "back to the usual programming" weatherwise.  Two separate systems are approaching from the southwest.  The first arrives overhead tomorrow afternoon.  A strong negative tilt to this system might give us thunderstorms tomorrow if it was May…but it’s not.  The 2nd moves in late tomorrow night, and it’s quite weak like the first one.  I notice there will be little to no rainfall Wednesday behind these two systems.

A wetter and more typical system for this time of year moves inland Thursday for a cloudier and rainy day.   

Beyond that, there are 3 things I notice in general:

1. No outbreak of cold air or snow chance…we are probably done with both (La Nina = No Snow at PDX???)
2. Very weak and splitty weather systems through early next week (a dry February in a La Nina ???)
3. Generally some sort of longwave ridging over the West Coast through the end of the month (March better be wet or this doesn’t fit our winter pattern so far).

Mark Nelsen

22 Responses to Nice Spring Weather

  1. …and they are as tasty of a wild bird as there is…..

  2. …dont clean Grouse, just peel the breasts off…coming from one who has ate a lot of grouse when i worked in the woods of eastern oregon….it is very surprising one went thru Marks window!!!!…have to wonder what spooked it that hard!

  3. Sandman says:

    Bummer on the Grouse Mark! They actually taste mild like chicken yet with a sweet flavor. I was amazed when I ate the one I shot this fall. It it tough to clean a grouse when you are at work though.

  4. hey Boydo……Terminal Blog Grog?

  5. Boydo3 says:

    Kegging up that Sno blog grog tonite. Or should it be “Croaking spring frog grog” ?
    Boydo

  6. Randall says:

    big SHNOOOW SHTORM on 18 Z GFS at about 226 Hour…too bad it ain’t January.

  7. Christiana in Beaverton (Baseline & 163rd) says:

    Thanks for the update Mark. At least the mystery of what happened with the grouse has been solved. Saw this quote and thought that some of you might enjoy it.
    The trouble with weather forecasting is that it’s right too often for us to ignore it and wrong too often for us to rely on it. – Patrick Young

  8. snow or beer hard choice
    both together are real fine
    beer and sun perfect

  9. Luvry says:

    Mat, they’re pretty equal…but beer might take the cake since it’s available 12 months a year 🙂

  10. Andrew Johnson (Silverton,Or/Bartlesville,Ok) says:

    There was a pretty nice valley snowstorm 15 years ago on this date. Salem got 12 inches I think PDX got around 6.

  11. Mat-ne portland says:

    I don’t know about y’all, but I’m ready for a little snow at the end of the month. I still don’t know whats better though, snow or beer? Be nice to have both for a change.

  12. T.A. Foothills NE of Woodland says:

    Camas Mom/Kirk,
    I only mention this as I know you live in “Camas” and have children, but two of my kids are in the cast of High School Musical Onstage that is currently showing at the Joyce Garver theater in Camas. If your kids have any interest, you should consider taking them as it is a very well done show! Oh and it runs through this coming weeknd.
    As to weather, is there anything left of winter in the long range models?

  13. Sean (Lebanon, Indiana) says:

    I think the arctic air you are all looking for it parked over the Midwest. I keep trying to kick it back west, but it just isn’t working.. 🙂

  14. Andrew Johnson (Silverton,Or/Bartlesville,Ok) says:

    Hey Austin in Ridgefield…Who do you play baseball for?

  15. Ron G - Hills above St Helens says:

    Type pad left my name off the previous meteor post — again

  16. Anonymous says:

    Anyone else see the meteor? It looked to me like it was traveling from WNW to ESE. It was a long streak in the sky, than a bright flash that lit up the eastern horizon.

  17. Thanks for the update Mark. I also haven’t looked at anything other than some gradient updates from time to time. I mean, it is my “job” to do so, right?
    This has been very enjoyable weather albeit very windy out this way. Speaking of windy the winds haven’t decreased much if any yet. So I am back from a bad-to-severe vertigo spell checking on the surface gradients.
    Surface gradients as of 2:00 AM
    PDX-DLS -6.0 Unchanged from 1:00 AM
    TTD-DLS -6.4 Increased from 1:00 AM
    Again I have not been posting the OLM-EUG or PDX-EUG southerly surface gradients as they are irrelevant for the time being with no big, deep low pressure systems moving onshore, nor any strong cold fronts sweeping towards us.

  18. ALERT: Just kidding. Sorry haven’t had to type that in a while. Just wanted to pass along the results of the extended forecast test. Congrats to Mark and KPTV and they tied KGW for scoring 13 points in the contest. KATU scored 10 and KOIN 9 points. Mark’s seven day was very accurate with low temps and weather. Mark had the highest single scoring forecast of the 4 days looked at. He scored 7 points for his Tuesday extended forecast and brought home a very consistent forecast each day following. I think this went pretty well. I might do this again in the future. Congrats Mark.

  19. Austin-Ridgefield says:

    Well the blog is almost all dead I think we need a good arctic outbreak soon to get this blog going again to bad I don’t see anything like that at all coming but anyway how is feb. 25 looking that is when Baseball starts for me this year we will go all the way.

  20. John - Aloha says:

    Mark, we have until July 5th for rain. I am not worried about a dry February or March.

  21. John - Aloha says:

    Great weekend weather!!

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