A “False” Spring

SnapshotI meant to put this graphic on the blog Friday, but I was negligent…apparently forgetting to even blog that day!  That hasn’t happened since last Fall.  Clearly the big slowdown in weather has taken it’s toll.
Wow, only 13 comments today as well…it’s like a midsummer day with no weather to talk about.  More likely we all found something else to do with the sunny weather Saturday, and today was nice for February as well.  I got my fruit trees all pruned and sprayed for the "spring", cut some trees down near my gate, and took a hike with the kids up the hill.  So "false" spring fever sure hit me hard.

The big story for the next 7 days is DRY AND MILD.  Models continue to show longwave ridging over the Northwest through at least the early part of the next week.  This weekend looks especially nice with very high 500mb. heights and a sharp ridge.  Some easterly wind at times bodes well for reducing low clouds and fog too.  We are just about past the season where we’ll get a prolonged period of cold easterly wind.   Too long days and increasing sun angle are beginning to "take their toll" as we go through mid-late February.  Very similar to mid-late August when we need a stronger east wind to get us up to 100 degrees.

I just checked reservoir levels and SNOTEL sites.  Plenty of storage room in reservoirs and no rain on the way, so no threat of flooding.  The low elevation snowpack is definitely melting now.  I see Saddle Mountain in the Coast Range has gone from 35" of snow water Friday down to 30" this evening…it’s as if 5"  of rain has fallen at that elevation.  A quick melt, but no rain to cause trouble on the Coastal Rivers…Mark Nelsen

16 Responses to A “False” Spring

  1. Sandman says:

    Wow Mark you still amaze me. Very scientific approach to gardening too. I don’t have the land to plant fruit trees but still tend a nice gravenstine (I believe). Crunchy, tart and sweet. We just cut around the worms. LOL.

  2. Andrew---Ellensburg, Wa and Portrland, Or says:

    Snow has really melted fast here, went from about 17 inches a few days ago to a slushy 1-3 inches left now.

  3. Mattmann--LO-- says:

    Hey mark, my friend uses nylon footies (like the ladies use to try on shoes. She will put them on her apple buds earlier than the bugs lay their eggs, then poof no more worms (cant lay any eggs!), and the footies will expand with the apple!
    If ya need any help with any big trees in your yard email me!

  4. Hey Mark…thats great information to know about varieties!!!!…thanks…

  5. Thanks Rob, for the link to the live webcam in Indiana the other day.
    Yesterday it began snowing but it wasn’t sticking. This morning there was a light dusting, but it’s been snowing pretty good all day and it’s really turning white. It’s fun to watch.
    http://www.manchester.edu/Common/Spartancam/spartancam4.htm shows the view from inside the same building you are looking at from spartancam3…

  6. Mark Nelsen says:

    Mom to Boys,
    When I moved to the “new” place (4 years ago), there were no fruit trees, so I started over with dwarf varieties that get very little apple scab, or curl-resisitant peaches. So I just spray that copper stuff once or twice during dry spells this time of year on the peaches/apricots. Then the lime-sulfur once in early March on the apples/pears. Other than that, if they don’t produce…they are gone. Too much messing around with chemicals to be spraying regularly all spring & summer. Also, to avoid the worms in the apples, I’ve stuck with early season varieties. One reddish one called Williams Pride never gets worms, I assume because it is ready in early August before the worms get going? Try http://www.raintreenursery.com I’ve always been happy with their stuff that’s bred for rainy, west of the Cascades climate.

  7. Bambi…be fore-warned…..the garden i tend is wired to Bonneville……

  8. Tyler in NW Vancouver (Hazel Dell) says:

    Things were mostly clear when I woke up, now the fog has moved in. The sun is still shining through it however.
    I’m looking forward to this stretch of dry weather too.

  9. I did find something that I consider worthy of posting.
    There is currently an absolute monster of a low way offshore. As of 2:00 AM it’s down to a super deep 948mb (27.99in) and still appears to be strengthening a bit. It should reach peak intensity soon, then slowly fill from there on.
    IR Loop – 1:00 AM Tuesday

    WV Loop – 1:30 AM Tuesday

    IR Loop Enhanced – 1:30 AM Tuesday

    This is one of the deepest lows we’ve seen in the North Pacific/Gulf of Alaska this Winter. It is truly a meteorological bomb nearing the end of it’s explosive cyclogenesis stage.

  10. 2:09 AM and I cannot sleep… Nagging cough.
    So our weather is boring? Agreed….
    Surface gradients as of 2:00 AM
    OLM-EUG -0.2
    PDX-EUG +0.5
    PDX-DLS +0.8
    TTD-DLS +0.3
    Very light gradients. Fog/low clouds could be an issue for some areas early Tuesday morning.

  11. Mom to Boys says:

    Husband has to finish the pruning as well. We have apple and pear trees, what do you spray with, Mark? I’ve been trying to go organic, but our apples looked kind of spotty and were not so hot last year! Waiting for my bulbs to bloom……….

  12. MAN says:


  13. bambi says:

    YAWN!!!! ahhh spring and sun and pruning, oh my! thank you Mr, Nelson! That should help the trees grow lots of nice tasty fruit for me to share with you. Please don’t Prune the trees too high though or I won’t be able to reach them and I will have to wait for your tomatoes!
    Your friend bambi

  14. Aleta- west gresham says:

    Sounds like i’ll be out in the yard again this weekend with those kind of temps! Everybody enjoy! We’re thinking of you Cherie. (hope i spelt that right?)

  15. 2nd or 3rd?
    Thanks for the update Mark.
    My lack of posting is due to a persistent respiratory virus that seems to be going around…. Still have it, but I may have finally turned the corner after 6 days of it.

  16. offroadjosh(kila-7miles west of kalispell Montana) says:


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