Cool Weekend and Garden Railroads

Junk2I normally don’t promote events on my weathercast unless they are directly related to the station.  But this was too interesting to pass up.  If you’re looking for something very different to do tomorrow, June 16th, check this out:  Railroads in the Garden Summer Tour .  The Rose City Garden Railway Society allows to you come and visit 9 different model railroad layouts that are OUTSIDE in people’s gardens and yards.  I didn’t even know this hobby existed until someone from east Multnomah County emailed me.  Neat stuff, especially if you have kids.  All the details for visiting are at the link above.
Now, on to weather…it looks slightly wet this weekend, even though skies sure did clear out nicely this evening.  We have another trough approaching from the west this evening and it helps to deepen the "big trough" developing over southern British Columbia the next 24 hours.  Models continue to keep just about all rain north of the Columbia River and west of the Cascades the next 2 days, but I find that hard to believe considering the last 24 hours worth of forecast disaster.  Of course I refer to the rain that arrived overnight with almost no warning.  I’m glad it wasn’t 28 degrees…
850mb. temps aren’t quite as cold for this weekend on latest models, staying above 2-3 deg. C.  That keeps snow at timberline or above in the Cascades with any showers that develop.  I still feel Sunday morning gives us the best chance for showers out of this episode.
There is some good news in the long range maps (beyond Monday).  At least now we’re back to about average agreement in models instead of the mess we saw yesterday.  Looks like the general pattern for the next 7-10 days stays "troughy" over the Northwest and just offshore, but for 3 days or so, starting Monday afternoon, the ridge to the east over the Rockes backs up slightly farther to the west, giving us a warmup during that time.  By late next week the big trough offshore once again gets close enough to give us a much thicker marine layer.  Eventually showers should arrive as well…next weekend?  Enjoy the clouds and cool weather this weekend, you may be hoping for it as some point this summer during a heat wave!  Mark

19 Responses to Cool Weekend and Garden Railroads

  1. Cherie_in_Vernonia says:

    Am jumping on our motorcycle & running up to Camano Island State Park for 2 days. See you when we return Thurs. Sure hope we don’t get WET coming home Thurs!

  2. Stephen says:

    *crickets chirping*
    Looks like tomorrow is going to be a spectacular day with temps around 80 woohoo…enjoy the sunshine, y’all!

  3. offroadjosh says:

    i think the blog is dead

  4. AtmosphericWrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    I think we all have this discussion every year. The simple fact is most years June is cool, cloudy, and dominated by onshore flow. The 4 corners high doesn’t develop and move into “summer time” position until July. Only then do we shut off the dominate onshore flow and allow ridges to build strongly with strong thermal troughs building northward from California. This is slightly different this June with higher heights over the arctic, Alaska, and the NW territories pushing the jet stream a bit further south opening the door to numerous troughs to impact the PNW, but this doesn’t seem that uncommon to me referring to a “cool” June.
    I think every year we forget that Summer begins near or just after July 4th. Just remember this very nice and cool June during middle of July-August where we will likely be baking.

  5. Derek-West Gresham says:

    The cool june has been nice. I would expect periods of sunny weather but as a whole it may continue.

  6. Oregon_native_416 says:

    When is summer gonna be here or did it not get the invitation to show up?

  7. Andrew---Ellensburg, Wa and Portrland, Or says:

    Interesting article suggesting that global warming stopped in 1998:
    “On the same day, NASA chief Michael Griffin commented in a US radio interview that “I am not sure that it is fair to say that (global warming) is a problem that we must wrestle with”.
    NASA is an agency that knows a thing or two about climate change. As Griffin added: “We study global climate change, that is in our authorisation, we think we do it rather well.
    “I’m proud of that, but NASA is not an agency chartered to, quote, battle climate change.”
    Such a clear statement that science accomplishment should carry primacy over policy advice is both welcome and overdue.
    Nonetheless, there is something worrying about one of Griffin’s other statements, which said that “I have no doubt . . . that a trend of global warming exists”.
    Griffin seems to be referring to human-caused global warming, but irrespective of that his opinion is unsupported by the evidence.
    The salient facts are these. First, the accepted global average temperature statistics used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change show that no ground-based warming has occurred since 1998. Oddly, this eight-year-long temperature stasis has occurred despite an increase over the same period of 15 parts per million (or 4 per cent) in atmospheric CO2.
    Second, lower atmosphere satellite-based temperature measurements, if corrected for non-greenhouse influences such as El Nino events and large volcanic eruptions, show little if any global warming since 1979, a period over which atmospheric CO2 has increased by 55 ppm (17 per cent).
    Third, there are strong indications from solar studies that Earth’s current temperature stasis will be followed by climatic cooling over the next few decades.
    How then is it possible for Griffin to assert so boldly that human-caused global warming is happening?
    Well, he is in good company for similar statements have been made recently by several Western heads of state at the G8 summit meeting. For instance, German Chancellor Angela Merkel asserts climate change (i.e. global warming) “is also essentially caused by humankind”.
    In fact, there is every doubt whether any global warming at all is occurring at the moment, let alone human-caused warming.
    For leading politicians to be asserting to the contrary indicates something is very wrong with their chain of scientific advice, for they are clearly being deceived. That this should be the case is an international political scandal of high order which, in turn, raises the question of where their advice is coming from.
    In Australia, the advice trail leads from government agencies such as the CSIRO and the Australian Greenhouse Office through to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change of the United Nations.
    As leading economist David Henderson has pointed out, it is extremely dangerous for an unelected and unaccountable body like the IPCC to have a monopoly on climate policy advice to governments. And even more so because, at heart, the IPCC is a political and not a scientific agency.
    Australia does not ask the World Bank to set its annual budget and neither should it allow the notoriously alarmist IPCC to set its climate policy.
    It is past time for those who have deceived governments and misled the public regarding dangerous human-caused global warming to be called to account. Aided by hysterical posturing by green NGOs, their actions have led to the cornering of government on the issue and the likely implementation of futile emission policies that will impose direct extra costs on every household and enterprise in Australia to no identifiable benefit.
    Not only do humans not dominate Earth’s current temperature trend but the likelihood is that further large sums of public money are shortly going to be committed to, theoretically, combat warming when cooling is the more likely short-term climatic eventuality.
    In one of the more expensive ironies of history, the expenditure of more than $US50 billion ($60 billion) on research into global warming since 1990 has failed to demonstrate any human-caused climate trend, let alone a dangerous one.
    Yet that expenditure will pale into insignificance compared with the squandering of money that is going to accompany the introduction of a carbon trading or taxation system.
    The costs of thus expiating comfortable middle class angst are, of course, going to be imposed preferentially upon the poor and underprivileged.”

  8. ashley watson in oregon city says:

    Hey peoples,
    I know I am crazy but what do you think about our cooler and wetter weather so far this June?? How will it affect summer?? How will it affect winter?? What is the PDO right now? Are there any experts making any predictions about the fall and winter weather?? What did you eat for breakfast?? (Just kidding)

  9. Mark says:

    How are you guys, I havent talked to you guys forever….. Hopefully I can get weather back into my life now that Schools over.

  10. N3EG says:

    This weather stinks. I hope March is over soon…

  11. Jesse-Orchards says:

    Looks like a hard frost is likely at the passes tonight, Government Camp down to 36 already and Santiam is 37. I’m chilly for any time of night in late June right now at 49.

  12. Camas Mom says:

    Happy Father’s Day!

  13. Derek-West Gresham says:

    Its a nice forum if you are into a little bit more advanced stuff and its also a national board rather than a local one.
    Looks like some showers are moving in guys, good to see it!

  14. Dustin says:

    Hey again guys hate to be pushy but would you guys join my weather forum for the PNW at šŸ™‚
    also, for the SE looks like our drought may be coming to an end, well not really but some relief is possible.

  15. Sean (Lebanon, Indiana) says:

    Nicely said there Rob! Yes, tomorrow is Dad’s day off. Though, still hasn’t stopped my wife from the honey do list for today! lol
    One word summarizes the weather here this weekend “Steamy”. At 1pm we are near 90 and dewpoint of 60. Water restrictions are starting to popup around the area here now, NWS says if we don’t get any decent rain by the end of this week (we could be into a Severe Drought). Just two months ago we had a surplus of rain, now we are over 0.20″ below and that increases by 0.14″ everyday (.14 is the daily normal). It looks like we have two chances for rain, but depending if the GoM opens up or not will really say how much rain we get.
    Anyway, everyone enjoy their weekend! Happy Father’s Day to all the dads (including myself)! šŸ™‚

  16. garron near washington square says:

    Thanks Mark,
    Hoping it’s a lil brighter today, taking my girl to Bullwinkles for her 7th B.Day party. I know they’re gonna want to get wet in the lill bumper boats too. Better bring a towel for the car seats.

  17. AtmosphericWrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    Thank you for the update Mark. It’s becoming really breezy out there right now. 58.5 here. I’m hoping for some unexpected sun break activity tomorrow for some surprise convection. The cold pool aloft will be marginally close, but it’s a slim chance.
    I just wanted to say something about Father’s Day if I could.
    With Father’s day quickly approaching we take time to remember our Dad’s. It is important also to remember those who are without their Dad, and especially those who have lost their Father recently. We only have them for what seems to be a short amount of time, so always remember and appreciate the time we do. I know, I know I should work for Hallmark.
    Have a great, safe weekend everyone.

  18. Gregg-Troutdale says:

    Thanks for the update Mark, and Happy Fathers Day everyone!!

  19. Antipex (SE Gresham) says:

    Thanks šŸ™‚ And…first post.

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