Easier Forecasting

Snapshot_31Just for fun, I’ve dialed up the Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina radars this evening.  You might find the frequent lightning strikes/flashes interesting from the severe weather moving across the southeast.  Check it out on the live radar this hour at kptv.com.  I’ll write about our weather later…Mark

22 Responses to Easier Forecasting

  1. Ryan (Da Couve) says:

    Ugh, super hot summer? No thanks. 70’s and 80’s are fine by me!

  2. offroadjosh-aloha says:

    Guys i typed this up tonight, i will add more to the months later this week.
    Fall and winter 2006 Overview
    September was an average month except for the precipitation, where we were almost an inch below average. Their were no significant events in September, the beginning was a lot warmer than normal, with temps in the 90s.
    October was a lot cooler than average with the lowest temp being 20 degrees. The highs were a little cooler than normal. Precipitation was also below average. Other than the very cold temps in late October there were no significant events in the month of October.
    November was a very wet and wild month, with snow, record flooding, record winds, and record cold temps. November normal precipitation is 5.9inches we had 12.85inches, we broke the all time record for the wettest November ever recorded with that came record flooding on the Oregon coast, the Wilson river in Tillamook hit its highest ever flood stage even higher than 1996 flood. The Portland Metro area also saw heavy flooding. We also low temps down around 20 and the last week had highs in the 30s. November also had high winds there were gusts over 100mph on the Oregon coast while the Portland Metro area had gusts to 50Mph. The last week of November had about 1inch of snow. November was the start of a very wild winter.
    December also was a very wild month even more so wind wise than November. We had several major wind events, one causing major widespread damage. We had gusts in the Portland Metro area over 65Mph, and on the Oregon Coast gusts hit 121Mph!!! December was also about 1inch wetter than normal, most of which fell during the major windstorm of December 14th and 15th. December showed also to be a very exciting month for wild weather.
    January was a much calmer month, but still had a little excitement.
    We were a little below normal for high and low temps. We also had a couple small snow events. Those events caused some problems in the metro area, but no major problems. Our lows for January were below average with our lowest temp being 14 degrees. Other than the snow events and being a little below normal for precipitation, there were no major events in the month of January.
    February was a fairly calm month with one snow event, in late February, which caused no problems in the metro area, but up in the coast range almost 2ft of snow fell. February was an above average month temperature wise. We had a high of 61 degrees, but we also had a low of 18degrees, so it was also cooler than average in the low temp standards. There were no major events in the month of February.
    March has had a good, start, with a small snow event at the very beginning. Which cause no problems in the metro area. March so far has been way below average for high and low temps. The average for this time of year is 53 degrees. We have been around 45 degrees, for the past week. So far there have been no major weather events in the month of March.

  3. Gregg-Troutdale says:

    National Weather Service Preliminary Data – EF Scale 3 Tornado Hit Enterprise
    ENTERPRISE, Ala., March 1, 2007 — Bob Goree of the National Weather Service says preliminary indications are that the tornado that ravished the Enterprise area was an EF Scale 3 tornado.
    “Today we see the intensity of the damage. Now, we’re not quite ready to put the new enhanced Fujita Scale value on this. We can tell you the preliminary finding is, it will be at least an EF scale 3. It may become that officially. We’re getting some engineering help to hopefully finalize that intensity tomorrow.”
    Goree says the storm was unusual for this part of the deep South. “Yesterday’s tornado in this area, Enterprise and other areas, over into Georgia were extremely powerful for this area of the country. Usually we see short-lived, smaller tornadoes that affect say one dwelling or more. But to see this school and other areas devastated by this powerful tornado is heartbreaking and really a rare sight fortunately for this area.” He says this was an “extremely long-lived tornadic super cell” which even awed National Weather Service meteorologists.
    “The size of this storm was incredibly large. We seldom see tornados in the deep Southeast that are 200 yards wide or so. I think some of the video is out there of this storm and it’s incredible. On our Doppler radars we rarely again get to see such a powerful storm signature as we did yesterday. Our meteorologists…were in awe of the shape, the structure and the intensity of the rotation in this super cell thunderstorm as it moved into this area.”
    Goree says the new enhanced Fujita Scale is meant to be more practical. He said the earlier scale was more objective and looked more at wind speeds, but the new scale “really reflects how bad was the damage whether than some exact wind damage measurement.”
    So what does the National Weather Service look at to make their final determination? “On our new scale we use damage indicators such as trees – the number and percentage of the trees that were snapped, whether the bark is stripped off of the trees, indicators like that to determine what the power of the wind was.” He says they also look at the “strength of the buildings. This (Enterprise H.S.) is a very strong structure here and we saw some structural failure.”
    Goree says the “most powerful center of the vortex…moved through the center of the school and into the parking lot and across the stadium.”
    “It’s a sad day for us at the National Weather Service…We’re always saddened when we see death and injuries in the communities which we serve and we have to redouble our efforts to get people safe in the path of these terrible storms.”

  4. matt says:

    I hope we hit 60 for Saturday, and close to 65 Sunday. I hope we have a super hot summer so we can be hear in count down the 90s and 100s like last year.

  5. k5mitch says:

    Well today it rained and then, it rained…

  6. -100F says:

    Since there is no chance of snow for the rest of this year (until we get to Nov 07) I would rather have 50F and rain rather than 40F and rain. Hoping for many 60 degree days this spring with some thunderstorms.

  7. Weatherer says:

    …thanks to the light east wind, of course.

  8. Weatherer says:

    Looks like some areas to the south and on the west side of the metro are near 50 while Troutdale, PDX, and the ‘Couv all are hovering around 40. Chilly day indeed! We’ll probably bump up a few degrees later this evening, though.

  9. SnowFlake says:

    Yeah…41 and solid rain all day here. Still, I’m thinking Oregon weather isn’t so bad after all – my perspective shifted a lot yesterday…

  10. Gregg-Troutdale says:

    What a cold , wet, and raw day. Have only made it to to 39.1 here today, and currently 38. Thought it was supposed to be 50. 60 sounds great right about now.

  11. Sean (Lebanon, Indiana) says:

    Pretty much a bust for here last night. No warnings, heck the storms that moved through yesterday morning were more active. But, it’s still too early for any sort of outbreak of severe weather here in Indiana. Even though March through June are the season for tornadoes here.
    Weekend weather forecast is for snow showers and temps around 28-32 tomorrow..
    Have a good weekend everyone..

  12. Ben says:

    Yeah, it’s funny 60 and sunny sounds great right now…in the summer it would sound downright cold!!

  13. Jesse says:

    It’s funny how we respond to different weather here different times of year. If a rainstorm like this was occuring in September or October, there would probably be over 150 posts by now with people, myself included, posting everything from radar interpretations to temperature to total precip forecasts. That’s why, in a way, fall is my favorite time of year for the weather. After summer, everything seems exciting. This time of year, sunny and 60 is a novelty.

  14. garron near washington square says:

    Hi Cristiana,
    Well, unfortunately the “term” “fair weather fans” probablly applies to all of us in here too. I would expect atleast a 1/2 inch down here in the lowlands, but probabally seeing the upper terrain in the coast range 1.25″ and maybe 1.5″ in the cascades. Hopefully we all continue to follow the weather in some capacity as thing in the weather room slow down, we always have http://www.northwestwx.com/chat/index.php?act=frame&room=General%20Chat
    but, unfortunately it looks to be dead as well now too. Keep up the weather enthusiasm though Cristiana. Have a good weekend!!!

  15. Andrew---Ellensburg, Wa and Portrland, Or says:

    28 degrees with a bit of a surprise snowstorm up here this morning. Picked up about an inch or so in the last hour. Should see steady snow for the next couple of hour before a change over to some freezing rain tonight and then a major warm-up into the lower 50’s for tomorrow. The warm-up looks to create from flooding issues for the Yakima river here, will have to watch that closely.

  16. Christiana--Beaverton says:

    Wow. This list quiets down when the weather does. I do have a question: how much rain do you all think we are going to get today?

  17. Ryan (Da Couve) says:

    On the plus side even though the meteorological winter is over we can now look forward to…..
    SPRING THUNDERSTORMS!
    I know 2006 was an excellent year for thunderstorms. Hopefully 07 follows suit.

  18. Sandi (Wilsonville) says:

    Thank you Mark! That’s interesting to watch on your live radar.

  19. Gregg-Troutdale says:

    The storms down south have been interesting to watch and follow all day. But sad to see the devastation and loss of life that they caused.

  20. Justin says:

    Well, the meteolorigcal winter is over and it wasn’t bad. In the end we had a lot of nickel/dime snow shower events, but little in the way of extremes. But we had everything I could ask for, an arctic outbreak (back-back mornings of 12 degrees, 16 at Pearson, 19 at PDX), a major windstorm (strongest since 2000/1995 here), an all time record wet November, a 4” snowstorm, and measureable snow in every month thus far (November 27, December 15, January 10/16, February 28 etc.). Hopefully next winter is better stilll, but the best all around year since 2003-04, ‘average’ in my book with a little bit of everything.

  21. JoeLo says:

    Thanks Mark! This has been an interesting winter. I hope you have had fun with the blog. I think for the most part it has been a great success. Hopefully, you will continue to give us weather geeks the opportunity to post our hopes, thoughts, and scientific observations. Joe

  22. Andrew---Ellensburg, Wa and Portrland, Or says:

    Thanks for the update Mark!

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