I would agree with those of you below talking about the warm night ahead. I can’t believe it’s 9:45pm and the temperature at our station is still 89 on the roof!
This may be the warmest/muggiest night many of us have ever seen in Portland. What could be more "perfect" for a warm night? A record high temp, then thick cloud cover arrives immediately following peak heating. Plus the dewpoint is well into the 60’s now. So I’m forecasting 72. Our RPM model shows about 76. Of course the all time record is 74 at PDX, so this will be one of the warmest nights ever in the metro area.
I dropped tomorrow’s forecast to 97, assuming that the cloud cover would be pretty persistent through midday. If it breaks up quickly, we’ll be back to 100. The radar looks impressive this evening, but there’s hardly any rain reaching the ground. In fact there have been NO lightning strikes in Oregon today or this evening. All moisture appears to be above 10,000′.
Not much cooling Sunday, then a pretty good push Monday to put us back down to 90 or so. That should feel much more comfortable.
do you think that when they burn off they will trogger instability due to the surface haeting
exactly 30 minutes later and it’s now 89.1 F
19th & Tillamook, Irvington District, 11:49 AM
79 here and dropping! I’m honestly going to be shocked if we get to 90 today, really. Some of these 100/101 forecasts are going to bust. Am glad I didn’t jump straight into believing the models.
hey Marie, thanks for posting. always good to see new people posting their stories and thoughts.
* Long Post *
Cherie, I’ve compiled a list of links to give you information that will help forecasting/predicting substancially.
NWS – Satellite links.
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/satellite/?wfo=pqr
Computer Model Data.
http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/Models/
SPC Composite Map.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/compmap/
Meteograms.
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/pqr/meteograms.php
WeatherUnderground Radar (Portland)
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=RTX&type=N0R
These things should help. That’s just a few things. Anyone else feel free to please post links for further info. Thanks.
11:18 AM, 19th & NE Tillamook (Irvington District):
84.2F and slowly climbing.
Don’t think we will hit 100F today because of the clouds.
Hi.
I’m new to writing on this site but I have been reading comments here since last winter. I thought I would write about my experience last night. I live in east Gresham. The power went off in my neighborhood last night at 6:00. My family decided to take a ride in the gorge until it came back on but when we returned the power was still off and the house was hot. We took a walk in the dark at 10:00. It was still 90 out. PGE said the power would be on at midnight but nothing happened. We tried to sleep but it was hard with no air conditioning or fans. The power finally came back on at 2:30. The low temperature here was 74 here. Thank goodness we finally have power. No cause was given. Hopefully it won’t happen again.
Well, the problem with these clouds is they’re upper level, thus they’re not just gonna burn off like out typical low cloudiness. I’m watching the western flank of the clouds to see how far east it moves. It’s tough to tell the direction of this cloud mass right now, some of it is receding east, but there’s still a push N/NW from the whole band. I am saying we see the clouds gone about 3-4pm but I don’t know if that gives us enough time to get to the upper 90’s today. I’m just worried about the humidity and stickiness when that sun does start to bear down!
Possibly Derek yes. Looks like activity is trying to intensify west of 1-5 corridor up and down the valley.
Here is the satellite loop.
http://sat.wrh.noaa.gov/satellite/loopsat.php?wfo=pqr&area=west&type=vis&size=2
This gives us a good idea of when any clearing will occur. Judging by this my interpretation I say clearing skies no sooner than 2pm.
80.3 now..thats odd that I am going down lol
I am concerned that the temp will fall below 75 this evening to make is so that we don’t end up breaking the all time record high low
Would you agree with me Droppin based off my link?
Well welcome to the Weatherteam Cherie. Feel free to predict, forecast, or give your opinions about anything. That’s how we learn how to be better forecasters. Also it’s fun to see how things play out, and what others think of our predictions.
-Rob
I dropped to 80.5. Looks like some sprinkles are in my neighborhood. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=RTX&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
It also looks like there is a little filling in to the SE, perhaps it will finally make it here
I thinks they will burn off & it will be 95-97 at least. Never made a prediction before LOL
I have been sitting at 80.6 for at least 30 minutes
Never got below 78.5 here. 84.2 here now. If these clouds don’t clear out I doubt any of us see 90 today.
72 for a low here. Stayed 77 in the house & of course the rain, UGH! it was so muggy. Set a small floor model AC in the bedroom just so we could sleep.
Walked out to the front room @ 3AM & it was like a sauna. Inside is gonna be uglier today than it was yesterday for me I think.
Cherie
86.5 degrees now with mostly cloudy skys
I don’t know if this is right but at Mark’s house its 79.4 with a dew point of 74.4 lol, http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/markswxlinks.html
Any chance something will get in here and give us some real storms?
hmm, I will stick with my 98 from yesterday. Thats of course assuming we break out of the clouds by about noon. Otherwise 94-96 would seem good.
ya, the higher the temps climb, the more that water will start to evaporate before hitting the ground. By the way, how high do you think we will get today? I think we might be climbing a little slower, but we had a 5+ degree head start this morning as well.
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=RTX&lat=45.51471710&lon=-122.50512695&label=Portland%2C+OR&type=N0R&zoommode=pan&map.x=400&map.y=240¢erx=368¢ery=161&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&delay=15&scale=0.744&noclutter=0&showstorms=31&showlabels=1&rainsnow=1&lightning=1
Well there is a little batch about to move through, just sprinkles at best but…lol Then it will be tough for the others to make it but I hope so.
That should feel good, man that was a horrible sleeping night..I hope we get just a little bit, but you get to have a dry pool party. Thats almost ironic lol
would be cool, i meant to say