More Dry Weather

The first forecast concern tonight is the amount of marine air moving inland.  Gradients at 5pm are only 2-3millibars from the coast into the valley.  Not very impressive for a good push.  Combine that with the last visible satellite pictures of the day showing only scattered stratus offshore and I’m thinking we may not have much thicker cloud cover tomorrow.  I may revise to warmer/sunnier Wednesday if the 00z runs this evening weaken the onshore flow or the after dark fog imagery shows no movement onshore.

Strong ridging builds in behind a passing shortwave Thursday-Saturday morning, which should warm us up quite a bit again.  Significant for this warm spell is the fact that no easterly wind develops.  So even with a +12 or +13 850mb temp forecast for Friday, we may not get above 75 degrees.  Solid easterly flow like last weekend COULD give us 80 in this warm of an atmosphere, but I think that’s unlikely.

After 2 more waves Saturday PM & Monday AM bring onshore flow back over the weekend, strong ridging returns for the middle of next week.  Our unusual dry spell should last at least 7-9 more days!

13 Responses to More Dry Weather

  1. alex says:

    56 hereeee andd cloudyy skysss

  2. alex says:

    mark said no rain next 8 days will we might see a drizzle early tonight and that still counts as rain. lol

  3. Derek Hodges says:

    I believe around 5/4 and 5/5 we will be in the low 80’s for sure. The difference between then and now is its a little longer days. Just as warm as an atmosphere as the coming Friday, and east winds. So I am hoping that holds so we can get an 80.

  4. Justin says:

    Yep, didn’t read the lol at the end either. I agree that 80 would be nice, its not too early or too late in terms of what we usually see, but I’d say the NEXT big warmup will be when we hit 80, not in the next 3-4 days. I’ll hold myself to the this prediction.

  5. Justin says:

    Yep, didn’t read the lol at the end. I agree that 80 would be nice, its not too early or too late, but I’d say the NEXT big warmup will be when we hit 80, not in the next 3-4 days. I’ll hold myself to the this prediction.

  6. Ian says:

    well, i for one will be excited to hit 80, ill be out on the river. but a lot of weather sites seem to be backing the fridays high back a little bit. theres a big difference on the water between low 70’s and near 80.

  7. Derek Hodges says:

    You could probably tell that I agree by the sarcasm in my last statement.

  8. Justin says:

    Still nothing to get excited over. I don’t think its strong enough, whatever comes out of either ‘flow’, to warm us substantially. 80-81 is about as warm as we could get, and like Mark said, there’s a good chancre that doesn’t even happen. Its just 80 degrees, nothing we haven’t seen hundreds of times before.

  9. Derek Hodges says:

    Still a nice day coming Friday..Now based on what I have learned from this almost “big” warm up. Next Wednesday/Thursday looks to be +10 to +13 maybe with an easterly flow. IF that stays maybe then we can get an 80 lol.

  10. Derek Hodges says:

    All is quite on here, to bad the sun didn’t really break out much.

  11. Justin says:

    Yes, the jet seems pretty stagnant right now after the recent shift. I’d agree that in the long range, a month or so seems right for the time when we start getting storms moving back this way.

  12. Derek Hodges says:

    It goes in cycles, rain probably will return by mid May. Notice how its been that way all winter/Spring? In terms of the patterns keep shifting.

  13. Justin says:

    Don’t want it to be too dry, my grass has done great since that September 30th soaking, don’t want it to dry up early this year.

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