A Nice Break This Week

I started feeling a bit older this weekend for 2 reasons:

1.  Another spring is quickly approaching as I approach 40.

2.  I now own a minivan…which I thought wouldn’t happen until I turned 40 or so.

But, let’s move on, weather watching still makes me feel like a kid…looks like high pressure will hold strong over the Northwest through the early part of next week.  That means a period of sunny skies, warm days, and cool nights.  We often get cold & annoying easterly winds out of the Gorge in this pattern in wintertime (actually more than often, about 95% of the time!).  In this case though the wind won’t be too strong until Thursday & Friday.

Now, for you Arctic Air friends…models the last 2 days have increasingly been pointing towards a retrogression of upper-air features over the North Pacific and North America just beyond the 7 day period.  So how do you feel about "retrogression"?  Well basically it just means things sort of "back up" overhead.  The ridge right over the top of us moves well out into the East Pacific, and the cold trough over the middle of the country moves west towards us.  That would put us in some sort of northerly flow (each model is different in the details) after early next week.  This doesn’t necessarily mean we’ll have a late season cold blast or snow here in the valleys, but the weather pattern does seem to want to change to at least cooler around Valentine’s Day. 

Remember that we have seen significant snow as late as the 3rd week of February in the last 15 years.  BUT, we’ve never seen a high temperature NOT get above freezing after the 16th.  Basically we can’t stay frozen all day after mid-February.  Now, discuss amongst yourselves!…Mark

13 Responses to A Nice Break This Week

  1. Jae says:

    40?? I would have never guessed!! šŸ™‚

  2. Mike says:

    I really hope this “arctic air” thing materializes. We haven’t had a good snowstorm in a couple years and it would be AWESOME to get one. I think the storm in 96 was great and it would be nice to have another like it. Kep us posted. You have the best weather in town and I stay up to watch it.

  3. Mike says:

    I really hope this “arctic air” thing materializes. We haven’t had a good snowstorm in a couple years and it would be AWESOME to get one. I think the storm in 96 was great and it would be nice to have another like it. Kep us posted. You have the best weather in town and I stay up to watch it.

  4. Jerry says:

    Its good to see that I am not the only weather freak!! What models are showing the artic push? Has any of you been able to look at the GFS and the others to see what its hinting to? Also, if we get the cold air, how cold will it be, is it to soon to make an educated guess? and the last and biggest question is will there be precip. forcasted at the same time? It seems we are due for a snow storm, and not a 12 hour event, we want 3-4 days!!! Mark bring the A game on this one, do alot of research to give us artic freaks a layout of what is possible, what is likly and when. Thanks to the best weather team in Portland!!

  5. Dan Zeit says:

    In early march of 1960,in Salem,we had neary 1 foot of snow that lasted several days,with temperatures hovering near 33 degrees for daytime highs for 3 days. The gorge got nearly 2 feet. in 1971 we had a late February,early March snowstom that hit us with heavy wet snow up to 10 inches in Salem. In Portland the channel 6 tv tower was toppled because of snow and high winds. And here in Salem the roof of a K-Mart collapsed because of the weight of the heavy wet snow. Daytime highs were 34-36 degrees over 3 days. Salems low on March 1st was 12 degrees. The coldest ever for so late in the season. So while it is rare,we can have cold and snow even until early March.

  6. Ben says:

    Even though we MAY get the cold air, it will probably come along with dry air…so at this point I don’t think there is a whole lot to get excited about.

  7. Kirk says:

    Mark thank you as always for the arctic air update. Please keep us in the arctic loop I look forward to your web posts every night. I was just getting my mind to accept the fact that our winter was over. I like a lot of you sure would love a blast of cold snowy weather. Then bring on spring and the best summer weather the country has to offer! After July 4th of course.

  8. Nancy says:

    some of the nicest people I know drive vans — remember VW vans at one time only belonged to the hippest of the hip. We will think of you that way when we see you in your van….!
    Love the blue skies — but cold weather would be nice just for a change of pace, then on to spring!

  9. Keith says:

    LET IT SNOW , LET IT SNOW , LET IT SNOW
    I really hope we get some more snow in portland befor winters over… We only had one snow event this year and it was not much : ( ….

  10. Dave Lamb says:

    Okay, so I checked the PDX records for February 1995, and the actual snowstorm date was 2/12. On 2/8, PDX had a high of 64 degrees with sunny skies. The high pressure then retrograded and allowed cold air to enter the PDX area on Sunday, 2/12, with 40 degrees for a high temperature in the early part of the day that steadily dropped as East winds drew in cold air and we had a major snowstorm. The temperature dropped to 31 degrees with steady snow throughout the day. On 2/13, the high was only 31, with a low of 24. On 2/14, the high was 36, with a low of 16 degrees. That was it for that cold spell, but the big highlight was the heavy snow that fell on 2/12.

  11. alice says:

    “BUT, we’ve never seen a high temperature NOT get above freezing after the 16th. Basically we can’t stay frozen all day after mid-February. Now, discuss amongst yourselves!…Mark”
    “can’t” or “hasn’t yet?”. the way this winter has been NOTHING would surprise me. in 1980 we watched the 4th of july fireworks through snowflakes in oakridge. nothing stuck and it was wet snow..but, it was snow.
    alice

  12. Dave Lamb says:

    Remember February of 1995??? We had a strong high pressure centered over the NW, with high temperatures in the low 60s here in PDX and plenty of sunshine, only to be followed by a high pressure that retrograded and allowed a cold air mass to drop down from the north for a February 14th snowstorm that dropped 9-10 inches of snow in the lowlands of Portland, and higher amounts in the hills. I sure would love to see a similar scenario unfold this month!!!

  13. Derek says:

    Is that your disguise for saying you think it will snow?? haha It wouldn’t really surprise me if it happened. This year the weather has been completely crazy so just remember records are meant to be broken. At least I hope… Can you go into a little more detail between weather geeks about this “chance of cold”?

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