6pm…Windstorm Tonight?

Wow…I didn’t think this could happen twice in one winter.  One or two forecasters in town (including me) don’t think a storm is coming, but apparently everybody else does.  This time it’s wind, not snow.

The NWS has issued a High Wind Warning for the interior of SW Washington and NW Oregon.  That includes the Portland Metro Area.

The NWS criteria for a High Wind Warning for the metro area says winds must be sustained at 40mph or have frequent gusts to 58 mph.  They are forecasting gusts to 50 mph tonight.  They also figure they can lower the criteria since soils are so saturated from the rain lately and it’s easier for trees to fall (that part we HAVE seen the last few weeks).

KOIN & KGW are following suit and calling for a windstorm too.  Keep in mind the wind hasn’t gusted above 50 mph at PDX for 6 years!

I have no idea why they think winds will be this strong tonight.

Low pressure is moving onshore way too far north for high winds here (north of Vancouver Island).  No models show strong winds with the actual cold front passage tonight.  My reliable MM5 says gusts to 35 or so at best.

So I think southerly gusts 35 mph or so is the best we’ll do across most of the area…MAYBE 40 mph.

We’ll find out within the next 6 hours or so right?  The warning went into effect at 6pm.

15 Responses to 6pm…Windstorm Tonight?

  1. Mat, The Salmon Killer says:

    Hey all.

  2. Mokihana says:

    It’s midnite Friday in Boring, and not a trace of wind….

  3. Randall says:

    Mark:
    61 below zero right now in Chandler lake Alaska. 40 below in Fairbanks Alaska, and several 50-55 below zero readings in Alaska right now.
    Any chance of a piece dropping south into the NW? Seems like this is one (of many) ingredients to us getting an Arctic outbreak. Also, when the GFS hints at Arctic weather, then takes it away, I have noticed in past Arctic outbreaks that it gives it back just 4-5 days before it actually happens; pretty much flip flops for several days until the pattern decides what it will do.
    Randall

  4. vernonia1 says:

    I see mentions of snow at low levels early next week. Do you agree?

  5. brandon says:

    seems like with everday passing by… the chances drecreasing of having somemore snow. Sad.

  6. Benjamin says:

    Hi Mark,
    I was wondering what are the chances of snow in the upcomming week. Do the models show any lower elevatiom snow levels-500-1000 feet? Also I have another question for you. Two years ago, in the latter part of December, we had a few snow events at night. During the day it was rather warm-44 or so, and at night the temps cooled down to freezing. Why have we not had any of these situations this year? Why don’t the snow levels come down at night. It seems that our temps seem steady and don’t drop.
    Can you please explain the scenario that we had a few years back, and how it occures. Thank you, Benjamin

  7. Derek says:

    It was a little windy but the highest gust was probably only 30 to 35mph if that. Again, definitely not worth the warning. I was really surprised when they posted that because the cold front basically appeared like just another storm. I don’t think our warm/wet pattern can hold forever, hopefully it will break down in time for some snow.

  8. Josh W. says:

    Mark, had to write you and tell you that my mom is crazy about you and your weather forecast. She is a windsurfer in the gorge, plus she snowboards, and loves how slip-in the information about the wind and snow. She records the news on her dvr and is known to rewind and rewatch your segment, great job keep up the good work. Portland is lucky to have the best weatherman in the country!

  9. Josh W. says:

    Mark, had to write you and tell you that my mom is crazy about you and your weather forecast. She is a windsurfer in the gorge, plus she snowboards, and loves how detailed you are about the wind and snow. She records the news on her dvr and is known to rewind and rewatch your segment, great job keep up the good work. Portland is lucky to have the best weatherman in the country!

  10. Terri says:

    12:20 am and windy here in Vancouver, Washington with heavy rains. Way to call it Mark. We are rocking and rolling over here with the windy pounding the house and the gutters look overwhelmed by the heavy rain. Can’t wait till summer….lol

  11. Chris says:

    It seems to be winder here in Beaverton but nothing too bad.

  12. Kevin Beckman says:

    WTG Mark now what are the chances of a real Arctic Outbreak? Seems like this warm wet pattern is getting reinforced.

  13. Andrew says:

    I live on the sw side of portlands west hills, not even light wind here at this time. 7:25pm

  14. Todd Helton says:

    No one seemed to predict the windstorm overnight on Christmas Eve/Day. The winds were much stronger then than they appear to be tonight. Is the NWS thinking that a light breeze will knock over trees like matchsticks?

  15. Selma says:

    There will be a Windstorm tonight in Portland i havent heard that in a long time. I guess there will be no sleeping tonight when the branches keep hitting the window.

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