For the hardcore weather folks…from the 00z Thursday run:
No, I have no idea why some of them get that funny shaded look. It has something to do with a new WordPress uploading process.
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Love this forecast for Gresham:
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=45.5001357&lon=-122.4302013&site=all&smap=1&searchresult=Gresham%2C%20OR%2C%20USA
Drier air is definitely moving in now. My dewpoint is down to 23 and falling.
Mark…any shot of posting the ensemble graphs from GFS and ECMWF? Those are real eye-openers but I can’t find them anywhere which leads me to assume it’s a pay-site feature. Is that true?
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ewallmref.html
Rob, what are your thoughts on the infrared blobs heading our way? It seems to be coming apart and heading due south, but maybe a chunk will give us flurries at least ?
I see higher cloud tops on IR, and it would appears on WV Loop that band is holding together, but it’s probably nothing. Nonetheless, we may as well keep an eye on Observations and Radar.
How far is that band that will probably dissipate?
Okay, so THIS is the new one…. jeez
When I hit “refresh” it took me back to the other one.
16th!
Not sure why people aren’t using this current post thread…. http://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2013/01/10/ecmwf-weekly-maps-4/
Rather instead keep going back to the previous one. http://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2013/01/10/a-long-dry-spell-ahead/
Probably because people automatically assume that the top post on the WordPress page IS the newest one…
You know what? I’m actually going to enjoy the upcoming dry spell. Nice blue skies in the dead of winter are a sight for sore model-riding eyes. I’m probably going to get flack for saying this……. but here goes……. I even enjoy some occasional fog (of the freezing variety!). I know, I know… But it can turn ordinary spider webs into works of art.
This is something I never worry about!
“Then on Saturday, a week trough moves southward over us, bringing some clouds and perhaps some light precipitation (even snow) to the coast. Maybe the interior could get a light dusting in places…nothing to be worried about.”
http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2013/01/sunglasses-and-caution.html
I will be hopeful and watchful of the possibilities.
But not worrying over.
LOL!!!
The threat of low elevation snow is much decreased.
So you’re telling me there’s a chance.
National Weather Service Portland or
253 am PST Friday Jan 11 2013
The models then show one more disturbance dropping down over the offshore upper ridge and in over the Pacific northwest Saturday
afternoon and evening.Models are in much better agreement now and keep the track offshore so the threat of low elevation snow is much decreased. The 00z and 06z NAM have been wavering a bit over the past several runs with the 00z run bringing the system closer to the area and 06z further offshore.
So basically, a December 2011 redux?
Wonderful.
6z GFS featured the longest stretch of +9c 850mb temps I can ever remember during January. Depending on where the ridge sets up and cold pool over the Columbia Basin we could be setting the stage for a big east wind storm given the very strong inversion.
Peaking +14c! wow….
The Weather might suck, but our Blazers don’t!
WOOOOOOOOO what a game!!!!!!!!
Apparently the ECMWF wants to dump the cold air displaced by the current SSW event into the North Atlantic… the Hudson Bay vortex vanishes after Week 1. If this verifies, there will be plenty of wailing and gnashing of teeth on the ol’ weather blog.
Ok, I’m stupid, what does this show? A warm low? A blocking of cold air? I AM a hardcore weather folk, just new at models.
I love dry winter weather.
You in!
Yeah, some folks do, and I can understand that. I love crisp, clear fall air. But when I think winter, I think snow, wind, ice and scarves and wool caps. I should live inside a Courier and Ives picture!!