Record Warm Day; Warmest in 3+ Weeks!

PLOT_Temps_Metro

The south wind finally punched through to ALL of the metro area the past few hours and it feels like we stepped off the plane on a tropical island…or something along those lines.  Look at the 1pm temps…60 in Portland, breaking the record of 58 for the last day of November. 

61 in Troutdale; you folks haven’t been above 48 in about a week!  Very nice warm southerly wind.

Enjoy it since we’ll go back to normal this evening as rain moves in.

Still tracking the possible strong wind for Sunday morning for someone, but need to look at more maps; I’ll blog about that this evening.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

67 Responses to Record Warm Day; Warmest in 3+ Weeks!

  1. W7ENK says:

    I think that first front is already here… About a half an hour ago, I was over at a friends’ place and the wind came up so suddenly we thought their awning was going to rip off the back of the house! Then the rain, absolutely coming down in sheets! Lots of standing water, running water, ponding all over the place on my drive home. Even now, it’s still pouring.

  2. Rookie says:

    Power out in Rock Creek now!

  3. B1900 Pilot says:

    Very windy in Bethany area of NW Portland area. 35 to 40 mph gusts (estimating), lot of overturned garbage cans.

  4. paulbeugene says:

    Here is the latest Canadian ensemble run…looks like it has the low farther north than the operational run on a many of its members..now at 36 hours.
    Mark: any comments?
    I’d say that the forecast of 10-15mph winds may be not reflect reality…at least in the southern half of the Willamette Valley.

    http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/ensemble/charts_e.html?Hour=36&Day=0&RunTime=00&Type=pnm

  5. Reports of 40+mph gusts in Washington County now….

  6. McMinnvilleDude says:

    Some healthy winds and rain out here in McMinnville, wasn’t expecting it tonight.

  7. runrain says:

    KPDX radar isn’t refreshing past 9:19pm

  8. Now 1.07 inch of rain today and no sign of it letting up anytime soon. Looking at the radar the heavy rain train of orange/reddish to the south still yet to move in.

  9. germantownsummit1000' says:

    “In the sun at 12:30pm at 60+ degrees felt very warm as I walked out of a store.”

    Erik can’t *imagine* that.

    It’s the Dome, Luke….

  10. I think we may have cyclogenesis of sorts developing offshore associated with the squall/front.
    WV Loop

    http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_enhanced+12

    http://sat.wrh.noaa.gov/satellite/loopsat.php?wfo=pqr&area=nw&type=wv&size=4

    45 N, 130 W obvious circulation intensifying.
    Buoys along the Oregon Coast show weak pressure falls….

  11. Severe t-storm watch box off shore to the SW. Weird.
    Wondering about the track and if it will still be solid when that bit of organization move inland? And my rain gauge just quit on me! Dang!

  12. paulbeugene says:

    GFS mm5 has 986mb closed low tracking nearly overhead of Eugene. If thing tracks just 50 miles north then we could have ourselves some damaging winds in here (Eugene). As advertised it would be deepening 19mb in 21 hours…..it will be very close

    • Agreed with that… If it’s a bit further north of that PDX gets it. If the low undergoes cyclogenesis a few hours sooner PDX-EUG gets it. Still some hope remains if you like active weather.

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      Timing has moved up by 8-10 hours compared to 24 hours ago.

    • flurball says:

      Irony Alert! If this was a frigid air situation the low would be in perfect position for a possible big snow event in PDX. If it moves 100 miles north it’s a possible big wind event for PDX. Amazing the tipping point these things can be at this time of year and going forward the next few months and the air mass we have.

  13. 0.75 of rain today here. I take it not much rain down around portland.? We should have over a inch of rain by midnight nothing but solid orange/red to the south

  14. Jesse-Stevenson says:

    And just for giggles, 60F would be close to a record low in many low elevation parts of the tropics.

  15. Jesse-Stevenson says:

    I’ll be staying in Lincoln City with the girlfriend tomorrow night. I imagine we’ll see some good winds there.

  16. Seattle NWS AFD excerpt which pertains to our area in terms of possible wind event/storm….

    ANOTHER OCCLUDING SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS…MODELS HAVE TAKEN MOST OF THE ENERGY WITH THIS SYSTEM INTO CENTRAL OREGON WITH THE JET AXIS CENTERED WELL TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA. THE 18Z SOLUTIONS HAVE TRENDED FARTHER NORTH WITH A 985-990 MB LOW MOVING ONSHORE SOMEWHERE OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON BETWEEN ASTORIA AND FORKS. THIS IS A NEW DEVELOPMENT AND WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY.

    Hmmm, intriguing… Onto 00z tonight which will be very telling.

  17. Tina says:

    I have been watching this blog for the past couple of years and I would just like to thank all of you for being so helpful. I have only asked 2 questions on this blog about why Ridgefield Wa. never gets any good weather and where could I look to get a better read on our weather. Those were answered by Mark and W7ENK. There is one other person but, I am sorry your name escapes me at the moment. Thank you guys you really explained it for me.

    I do have another question. I am kind of confused on why weather.com never gets the weather right for us. They say one thing only for it to go in the opposite direction.

    Can anyone tell me why this is? Is there no weather station here in our area?

    Thanks in advance and keep up the great work.

    • Josh in Sherwood says:

      Weather.com doesn’t get things right out here because it isn’t the East Coast. They don’t have to talent to forecast our area. Not being cynical. It’s just a fact.

    • Tina says:

      Thank you Josh. I will not be watching that anymore.

  18. 18z GFS shows a 6 hour pressure rise of 11mb.

    • alohabb says:

      uh…is that good for a windstorm?

    • paulbeugene says:

      that would be a wimpy pressure rise….good windstorms have pressure rises of over 5-6mb/hr

    • paulbeugene says:

      Excerpt from Wolf Read’s article “Storm King”
      A rapid rise for northwest locations is typically 0.06-0.15″ an hour, more rarely 0.18-0.30″ an hour. The former category of rises are often seen in the big windstorms, like in November 1981 and December 1995, and the latter category was experienced in many places during the Columbus Day Storm. On February 7, 2002, Eugene received a jump of 0.19″ in just 32 minutes!

      For conversion, 1 mb is about 0.03 inch mercury

    • paulbeugene says:

      2mb/hr pressure rise is not all that bad then.

  19. *BoringOregon* says:

    Record Warmth, you should check out Oklahoma there in the mid 70’s all week tell Tuesday. When a cold front pushes through on Tuesday only bring a 20% chance of rain all week, and only dropping the temps into the mid 60’s. I found a place where I want to live :).

  20. umpire says:

    I was running errands today and thought the 62 on the car thermometer was in error. But it stayed between 61 and 63 for a couple of hours – whoda thunk!

  21. W7ENK says:

    I haven’t been outside since I got to the office at 6:45a.
    Looks windy, but dry. It’s hard to imagine it warm with all these clouds rolling by. I guess I’ll find out in a couple more hours.

    • germantownsummit1000' says:

      What – you’ve never experienced a windy. dry, cloudy day that was warm?

      Some dome…

    • W7ENK says:

      Methinks you’ve misinterpreted what I said. Having not been outside at all today, it’s hard to imagine that it’s actually warm out there considering it’s been chilly for the last week or so, it appears that it’s quite windy outside right now, and it’s very cloudy. Oh, and we’re only hours away from December.

      Associations being the silly little things that they are…

      One hour before I can bask in record warmth!

    • W7ENK says:

      Meh, it doesn’t feel all THAT warm out here.
      Mayhaps it’s a dry heat?

      Feels like fall, actually… right before a BIG storm!

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      In the sun at 12:30pm at 60+ degrees felt very warm as I walked out of a store.

  22. Sifton says:

    ENJOYING!!

  23. Hoping for surprise development or more Cyclogenesis than expected with Sunday’s system. It isn’t out of question, but no model seems to show it. Tuesday’s low on 12z ECMWF is a bit interesting though. All eyes to 00z and WV Loop.

  24. pdxgeologist says:

    Perfect! Panama won’t seem so hot when I get off the plane tomorrow. I’ll be keeping an eye on you weather geeks from afar over the next year. I’m sure as soon as I leave the models will start agreeing on that epic arctic blast. Cheers.

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 294 other followers

%d bloggers like this: