12z ECMWF Ensemble Chart & Weekly Maps

Interesting…looks like much better agreement through Monday morning now, the extremely cold members are gone:

And since I didn’t work yesterday and was all worked up about this coming weekend I didn’t post the ECMWF weekly maps for the next month.  These are based off SUNDAY NIGHT’S RUN when it was still quite chilly on this model.  Interesting to see the upper level ridge retrograde a bit for milder west/southwest flow halfway through March…book it!

Week1:

Week2:

Week3:

Week4:

19 Responses to 12z ECMWF Ensemble Chart & Weekly Maps

  1. W7ENK says:

    Hawai’i. Today.

    http://i44.tinypic.com/34zniwx.jpg

    Seriously, WTF?!? >_<!!!

    For Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa summits above 8,000 feet:

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
    337 PM HST TUE FEB 21 2012

    …WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM HST WEDNESDAY…

    A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW… SLEET… AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

    I am SO insanely jealous!!! :cry:

  2. Ben T. says:

    Where is a good place to look at the weather models?

  3. Karl Bonner says:

    Maybe a mid-March warm spell? Immediately after a cold period? I’d take that!

  4. W7ENK says:

    Man, the wind is just tearin’ it up Downtown… You should see the curtains of rain, sheets screaming Northbound between the Justice Center and the Portland building! ~6 or 8 seconds between Madison and Salmon streets, so what is that, 400 feet? Someone do the math, my guess is about 40 mph at max. Granted, that’s up between the buildings maybe 10+ stories up…

    White caps on the Willamette River, South side of the Hawthorne Bridge!

  5. Andrew (Portland....Sylvan Highlands ~800 feet) says:

    Still thinking i have a decent shot at some snow coming up this weekend into next week. The Sea level snow is not looking so hot though, lets hope the cold over performs!

  6. john says:

    well i sure am glade that i had that i got hammered by snow and ice in January so i got to have some what of a winter minus the big floods and wind storms but you never know still time for models to change one one or the other

  7. I seen this warming trend in the models coming yesterday evening but some people didn’t wanna hear it :( Oh well.

  8. Ben T. says:

    The big-boned lady hasn’t sang yet.

  9. WEATHERDAN says:

    4th

    • WEATHERDAN says:

      Actually what I wanted to say was that now we have finally gotten winter out of our systems I’m hoping to see some milder weather in here. Today felt real nice. If you wanted some cold weather here just get over it. Maybe next winter. I would really like to see a normal spring this year. Maybe we will get it. Now Mark won’t have to curl up in that fetal position.

  10. stormblown says:

    Looks like -6 to -8 C 850 mb temps, then it goes up a bit for aday or two, and back down to -6 C. Lots of snow above 1000ft. What we see about 95% of the time this late in the winter.

  11. philinforestgrove says:

    FIrst?

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