Vacation Time

00z GFS isn’t nearly as chilly as earlier runs, in fact it doesn’t look bad at all next week, much different than 24 hours ago…better keep riding those models eh?  Actually that’s been a problem the last few days…where does a cool upper-level trough go the middle of next week?   And will it be real chilly or just a dip in the jet stream?   And what about later next week; do we get a deep trough moving onshore to ruin that weekend or will it stay well offshore for a warming trend?  All still to be determined.

I have the next week off and won’t be back at work until Monday the 25th.  No exotic vacation plans except some camping.  I will be checking in on the blog occasionally, so try to behave and not go wild!

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

622 Responses to Vacation Time

  1. Boydo3 500' North Albany says:

    I missed my prediction of Corvallis dropping 15-20 deg by 6:30. It did drop from 88 at 4:30 to 73 by 7:30 and is now at 63 with a howling W wind of 24 with gusts to 29! Brrr…
    Carl, Mary’s Peak seems to do nothing to stop that westerly in the evenings.

  2. Tyler in Hazel Dell says:

    A small version of tonight’s sunset…

    http://www.4shared.com/photo/cJ42HCrd/8_G_Sunset.html

  3. W7ENK says:

    Oooh, purrrrdy! :)

  4. Rob "Wrath" S.E. Portland says:

    A very warm 80.2 still…. Much warmer here than last night.

  5. Tyler in Hazel Dell says:

    Beautiful sunset right now

  6. Rob "Wrath" S.E. Portland says:

    Some backing to the flow aloft now seen on WV Loop.

    http://sat.wrh.noaa.gov/satellite/loopsat.php?wfo=pqr&area=nw&type=wv&size=4

    Hmmmmmmm….. I don’t think this will last very long though.

  7. Karl Bonner says:

    We’re now in that brief period of high summer where it doesn’t take a big dramatic heat-wave setup for the south valley to sneak up to 90. In fact I’d say about a third of our 90+ days this time of year happen under fairly “normal” pattern conditions, just with a bit less onshore push and a bit more overhead heating than originally expected.

  8. W7ENK says:

    #600… Nice!

    Blow-off from those thunderstorms is pretty much directly overhead in Milwaukie/Sellwood/SE PDX. I hope that’s a good sign? It certainly is encouraging!

    • Ryan (Walnut Grove) says:

      If anything it just means it’s going to be hot and muggy tonight!

    • Battle Ground Brian says:

      This debris is common in the late afternoon in summer. As the thunderstorms tops grow (usually late in the day), the stronger winds aloft near the top of the anvil will cause high clouds to spread out far from the storms center. This really means nothing as far as our weather here in Portland and most of the high clouds may fade out overnight as storms die along and east of the Cascades.

    • chris s says:

      hot and muggy ?? Dont think so not with a northwest breeze and there just high clouds. Its already cooler by several degrees at this time than it was yesterday.

    • W7ENK says:

      It’s not out of the question to get some high altitude static discharge in clouds like that after dark… It’s been years since I’ve seen it, but those silent bubbly flashes of heat lightning are pretty cool to watch, especially when they light up the snowy face of Mt. Hood! :)

  9. Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

    2″ diameter hail was reported in the Siskiyou County, CA today.

    http://spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

    Impressive. Last hail report in Oregon to reach 2 inches is from that one supercell Bend had on June 12th 2006.

  10. Derek Hodges says:

    Lots of thunderstorm activity in the cascades and eastern oregon. A few STW’s have been issued too. Looking further ahead, http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/Models/avn18z500mb.html

    GFS is teasing us with thunderstorms for next Sunday. I think its interesting to note it didn’t catch all the moisture we see out there today though.

    • Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

      I hope GFS isn’t in La-La-Land… Anyways looks good! I can’t wait. :)

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